Understand the projection, explore the range and check the matchup.
YOUR RESEARCH TOOLSSave a player and compare your line
Choose Cards for matchup context or Table for a compact comparison. In Table, click a column heading to sort, enter a line directly in the row, or click a player to open the breakdown. Probability markets are not treated as count lines. Use the star to save a player on this device, then choose My players to filter the board. Open Recent games & compare a line, enter your sportsbook line, and switch between the last five or ten recorded appearances. The difference compares your line with the displayed projection or reference. Historical over/under counts describe past results, not a forecast probability. Gold indicates a push at an equal line; missing game values are excluded.
01 /Start with the main numbers
Passing, rushing and receiving yards are separate estimates. Total yards means rushing plus receiving; it excludes passing yards.
02 /Understand touchdown markets
Anytime TD estimates the chance of at least one rushing or receiving touchdown. 2+ touchdowns estimates at least two. A passing touchdown does not count as the quarterback’s own touchdown. First TD means the first touchdown scorer in the game.
03 /Recent vs. projection
The recent badge compares recorded results with forecasts saved before kickoff. Orange means above, blue means below and neutral means near the saved projection. Read the game count and yardage difference; one result is not a streak.
04 /Team defense and depth roles
Pass and rush defense summarize the whole team. Position totals combine all players at that position; WR1, WR2, RB1 and similar splits use pregame depth roles and have smaller samples. A role’s TD allowance naturally differs from the position total. Neither is an individual TD probability.
05 /Explore outcomes
Conservative shows the lower P20 outcome: about 20% of modeled outcomes fall at or below it. Average is the expected result, not the most likely exact score. Ceiling shows the P90 upside outcome: about 10% of modeled outcomes can exceed it. These ranges are estimates, not guaranteed limits.
06 /Read the matchup in context
Defense numbers describe what opponents have allowed, not what this player will produce. Read the statistic, position or role, season and sample size together. Where a rank is shown, use its stated direction; a strong defense rank and a strong player projection mean different things.
07 /Check the role and availability
Select the game first, then search or filter players. Read the availability label and update time before comparing cards. A projected role or roster listing does not confirm that a player will start or play.
08 /Open the details
Use Explore outcomes for the selected statistic and the player breakdown for additional context. A dash means the estimate is unavailable; it does not mean zero. Game picks highlight model selections, not guaranteed wins.