Understand the projection, explore the range and check the matchup.
YOUR RESEARCH TOOLSSave a player and compare your line
Choose Cards for matchup context or Table for a compact comparison. In Table, click a column heading to sort, enter a line directly in the row, or click a player to open the breakdown. Probability markets are not treated as count lines. Use the star to save a player on this device, then choose My players to filter the board. Open Recent games & compare a line, enter your sportsbook line, and switch between the last five or ten recorded appearances. The difference compares your line with the displayed projection or reference. Historical over/under counts describe past results, not a forecast probability. Gold indicates a push at an equal line; missing game values are excluded.
01 /Shots, goals and points
Shots on goal are official on-target shots, not all shot attempts. Points means goals + assists. Anytime goal estimates the chance of scoring at least once; it is not the expected number of goals.
02 /Goalie cards depend on the starter
Goalie saves depend on shots faced and goals allowed. Check the goalie’s starting status before using the card; an unconfirmed starter’s forecast is conditional on playing.
03 /Recent reference colors
Orange means recent shots or saves are above the recorded reference, blue means below, and neutral means near it. This is a production comparison, not accuracy against saved projections. Read both averages and their sample sizes.
04 /Read lines and rare outcomes
Over 3.5 shots requires at least four shots on goal. Goals are rare enough that a modeled P90 can still be zero; a goal remains possible above that range. The displayed full-game statistics include overtime and exclude shootout events; check the scope of the market you are comparing.
05 /Explore outcomes
Conservative shows the lower P20 outcome: about 20% of modeled outcomes fall at or below it. Average is the expected result, not the most likely exact score. Ceiling shows the P90 upside outcome: about 10% of modeled outcomes can exceed it. These ranges are estimates, not guaranteed limits.
06 /Read the matchup in context
Defense numbers describe what opponents have allowed, not what this player will produce. Read the statistic, position or role, season and sample size together. Where a rank is shown, use its stated direction; a strong defense rank and a strong player projection mean different things.
07 /Check the role and availability
Select the game first, then search or filter players. Read the availability label and update time before comparing cards. A projected role or roster listing does not confirm that a player will start or play.
08 /Open the details
Use Explore outcomes for the selected statistic and the player breakdown for additional context. A dash means the estimate is unavailable; it does not mean zero. Game picks highlight model selections, not guaranteed wins.